标签： 上海水磨外卖工作室

Raising interest rates is slower but the interest rate will be higher! The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 basis points, and raised the peak interest rate expectation to more than 5%.

After four consecutive ultra-aggressive interest rate hikes, the Federal Reserve began to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes as expected by the market, and at the same time raised the expected level of peak interest rates. It is expected that the highest level of interest rates will exceed 5% after interest rate hikes, suggesting that interest rates will continue to rise in the coming months.

On Wednesday, December 14th, US Eastern Time, the FOMC of the Federal Reserve announced after the meeting that it would raise the target range of the policy interest rate federal funds rate from 3.75% to 4.00% to 4.20% to 4.50%, with a rate increase of 50 basis points. Like the previous three meetings in July, September and November, this interest rate increase decision was unanimously approved by FOMC voting members.

This is the first time that the Fed has slowed down the rate hike since it started the current rate hike cycle in March this year, and it is also the first time that the Fed has raised interest rates by 50 basis points since the beginning of May. Before this week’s meeting, from June to November, the Federal Reserve decided to raise interest rates by 75 basis points for four consecutive meetings, maintaining the largest single rate hike since November 1994.

The Fed’s rate hike this time is in line with market expectations.Meeting minutesIt shows that at the monetary policy meeting in early November, most Fed officials attending the meeting thought that it might soon be suitable to slow down the interest rate hike. In the last public statement during the silent period before this week’s meeting,Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiteratedAfter the November meeting, the interest rate hike will be slowed down as early as December. The day before the Federal Reserve announced this interest rate decision, it was announced on Tuesday.November US CPIFor the second month in a row, the growth slowed down more than expected, which strengthened the market’s expectation that the Federal Reserve will start to slow down interest rate hikes this month.
The bitmap of the expected future interest rate level of Fed officials announced after this meeting shows that compared withThe last bitmap released in September this yearThis time, the annual interest rate expected by the Fed policymakers is higher than that expected in September, indicating that the degree of austerity next year will exceed the Fed’s previous expectations.

Of the 19 officials who provided expectations,Only two people expected this time.2023, that is,The policy interest rate will be below 5.0% next year.,A total of 17 officials, accounting for more than 89%, expect.Next year’s policy interest rateWill exceed 5.0%. Among them, ten people expect the interest rate to be between 5.0% and 5.25% next year, five people expect the interest rate to be between 5.25% and 5.50%, and two people expect the interest rate to be between 5.50% and 5.75%. butLast time, no official predicted that the interest rate would exceed 5.0% next year.

This time, there are 14 officials, accounting for nearly 74%.In 2024, that is,The policy interest rate in the following year will be higher than 4.0%.Among them, seven people expect the interest rate to exceed 4.50% and the other seven expect the interest rate to be between 4.0% and 4.25%. Seven people expect the annual interest rate to be between 3.75% and 4.0%, and two people expect the interest rate to be lower than 3.50%.There were only six people last time.Officials who account for more than 31% predict that the policy interest rate will beMore than 4.0%All 13 officials expect the interest rate to be lower than 4.0%.

with regard toIn 2025Policy ofinterest rateLevel, this timeestimateAlso at that timeThere are four people above 3.75%, three more than last time.One of them expects the interest rate to exceed 5.5%, two expect the interest rate to be between 4.0% and 4.5%, and one expects the interest rate to be between 3.7% and 4.0%. This time, it is estimated that there are seven people whose annual interest rate is lower than 3.0% in 2025, and there are ten people who expected it last time.

The updated economic outlook released after this meeting shows that Fed officials continue to raise interest rate expectations in 2023, that is, next year and 2024.The median value of the highest interest rate in the three years is expected to exceed 5%.The Fed also raised the expected interest rate level in 2025, showing that the median interest rate will far exceed the Fed’s inflation target by 2%, more than 100 basis points higher than the target.

The expected peak interest rate announced by the Federal Reserve is basically in line with Wall Street’s expectations. Earlier this WednesdayWall Street knowledgeIt is mentioned that most analysts believe that the Fed will keep the policy interest rate at around 5.1% next year. Morgan Stanley predicts that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 50 basis points early next year, and the interest rate will stabilize at 4.75-5.00% for the rest of next year, which is in line with the pricing in the money market. Barclays predicts that the Fed will raise interest rates by another 50 basis points in early next year and 25 basis points in March, and then suspend interest rate hikes, keeping interest rates at the peak of 5.0-5.25% until the end of the year.

In this economic outlook, the median values predicted by the Federal Reserve are:

  • The federal funds rate in 2022 remains unchanged, which is the same as the expected value announced in September, both of which are 4.4%.
  • The federal funds rate in 2023 is 5.1%, which is 50 basis points higher than the expected value of 4.6% announced in September.
  • The federal funds rate in 2024 is 4.1%, which is 20 basis points higher than the expected 3.9% in September.
  • The expected value of the federal funds rate in 2025 is 3.1%, which is 20 basis points higher than the expected 2.9% in September.

The economic outlook also shows that, unlike the last September outlook, the Fed did not continue to significantly reduce its GDP growth forecast this year, but slightly raised it. However, the Fed has continued to cut its growth forecast for the next two years, with the expected growth rate for next year less than half that expected in September.

At the same time, the Federal Reserve lowered its unemployment rate forecast for this year, and the unemployment rate forecast for the three years from next year to 2025 will be raised, and the personal consumption price index (PCE) inflation forecast for the four years from this year to 2025 and the core PCE inflation forecast for this year to the next year will also be raised. Both PCE inflation and core PCE inflation in 2025 are close to the Fed’s inflation target of 2%.

  • It is estimated that GDP will increase by 0.5% in 2022 and 0.2% in September. The GDP growth rates in 2023 and 2024 are expected to be 0.5% and 1.6% respectively, and 1.2% and 1.7% respectively in September. The growth rate in 2025 is expected to remain unchanged at 1.8%.
  • The unemployment rate is expected to be lowered from 3.8% in September to 3.7% in 2022, from 4.4% to 4.6% in 2023 and 2024, and from 4.3% to 4.5% in 2025.
  • PCE inflation rate is expected to be raised from 5.4% in September to 5.6% in 2022, from 2.8% to 3.1% in 2023, from 2.3% to 2.5% in 2024 and from 2.0% to 2.1% in 2025.
  • The inflation rate of core PCE is expected to be raised from 4.5% in September to 4.8% in 2022, from 3.1% to 3.5% in 2023, from 2.3% to 2.5% in 2024, and remains unchanged at 2.1% in 2025.

In terms of interest rate guidance, in the resolution statement after this meeting, the Federal Reserve reiterated two new sentences added at the last meeting in November this year. The following two sentences admit that the impact of interest rate hikes is lagging behind, which once ignited the Fed’s steering expectations after the November meeting:

"The (FOMC) Committee expects that in order to keep the monetary policy stance restrictive enough and allow inflation to fall back to 2% over time, it is appropriate for the target range (policy interest rate) to continue to rise.

In order to judge the rising pace of the future target range, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lag of monetary policy affecting economic activities and inflation, and changes in the economic and financial situation."

In addition, other contents of the interest rate guidelines remain unchanged. The Fed continues to reiterate that FOMC seeks to achieve the dual goals of full employment and long-term inflation of 2%. After expressing its decision to raise interest rates by 75 basis points to support the above two objectives, the Federal Reserve continued to reiterate its statement in March this year: "The (FOMC) Committee expects that it will be appropriate to continue to raise the target interest rate range."

Statement after this meetingContinue to reiterate the new statement in June.This sentence:

"(FOMC) CommitteeStrong commitment, will let the inflation rate fall back to the goal of 2%."

The statement of this meeting continued to reiterate the expression of the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict first mentioned in the March statement: Russia’s actions against Ukraine "caused great" economic difficulties, but slightly changed the statement since July that "related events of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict are creating new upward pressure on inflation and putting pressure on global economic activities" and changed it to "related events are fuelling upward pressure on inflation and putting pressure on global economic activities".

Immediately after the impact of the above-mentioned Russian-Ukrainian conflict, this statementReiterated the sentence added in May that FOMC is "highly concerned about inflation risks".

When evaluating the economy, this statement continued to reiterate what was said in June, "the employment growth has been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low", and continued to reiterate the evaluation of inflation in the March statement:

Inflation remains high, reflecting the imbalance between supply and demand related to the COVID-19 epidemic, rising food and energy prices and broader price pressures.

In May this year, the Federal Reserve announced the route of reducing its balance sheet (shrinking the balance sheet), and reduced its bond positions from June 1, initially reducing at most $30 billion in US Treasury bonds and $17.5 billion in institutional mortgage-backed securities (MBS) every month, and doubling the maximum monthly reduction three months later.

Like the previous four meetings, the statement of this meeting did not reiterate the above line, but said that it would continue to reduce its holdings of government bonds, institutional bonds and institutional MBS according to the reduced table route announced in May.

This article is from Wall Street. Welcome to download the APP to see more.

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Taiwan Province Democratic Progressive Party invited Dalai to visit Taiwan, and the Kuomintang lambasted him.

● August 5.

-The severe tropical storm Morakot intensified into a typhoon at 14: 00 on August 5th, 1080 kilometers south-east of Keelung, Taiwan Province.

● August 6th.

-Typhoon Morakot will move to the north-northwest in the future, continue to strengthen, and will soon land in Taiwan Province.

● August 7th.

-Typhoon Morakot No.8 landed in Hualien, Taiwan at 23: 45 on August 7, and many places in Taiwan were seriously affected.

● August 8th.

—— "Morakot" is approaching, the sky in Wenzhou is overcast, and the dark clouds in Cangnan, Zhejiang are under pressure, with strong winds and waves.

● August 9

-Typhoon Morakot landed in Xiapu, Fujian at 16: 20 on August 9, with serious waterlogging.

● August 10th.

-After Morakot landed, Cangnan County, Zhejiang Province was still surrounded by stagnant water, and there was obvious stagnant water in the urban area.

● August 10th.

-"Morakot" caused the traffic in Fujian and Zhejiang to be affected, and some sections were blocked for three days, and the water level rose and the waves churned.

● August 10th.

-Taiwan Province was attacked by Morakot, resulting in 15 deaths, 150 missing and 20 broken bridges.

● August 10th.

-"Morakot" affected the three-way traffic in Shanghai and was partially blocked.

● August 10th.

-"Morakot" has caused more than 7.8 million people in Chinese mainland to be affected and three people died.

● August 10th.

-Hui Liangyu, member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee and vice premier of the State Council, went to Fujian and Zhejiang to inspect and guide flood control and flood relief.

● August 11th.

-Affected by Typhoon Morakot, heavy rains fell in southern Anhui, central Jiangsu, Guangdong, Pearl River Delta, central and western Yunnan.

● August 11th.

—— "Morakot" is far away from Fujian, and the rainfall has weakened, and the transportation power supply has recovered rapidly. The typhoon continues to hit Jiangsu with violent storms.

● August 11th.

-"Morakot" hit Taiwan Province hard, causing 600 people to be buried in Kaohsiung.

● August 11th.

-"Morakot" will leave Zhejiang, and the impact of wind and rain will continue, and the water level in Taihu Lake will still exceed the warning line.

● August 11th.

-Tropical storm "Ai Tao" moves eastward, which will have little impact on China in the future.

● August 11th.

-"Morakot" entered the Yellow Sea at 1500 hours, and there was a strong wind in the sea. China Meteorological Bureau lifted the emergency response status.

● August 11th.

-"Morakot" caused nearly 9 million people in four provinces to be affected, and the direct economic loss due to the disaster was 9.06 billion yuan.

● August 12

-Taiwan Province special forces marched into the buried villages in Kaohsiung County for search and rescue, and the disaster was beyond imagination. Alishan was badly hit.

● August 12

By noon on the 12th, Typhoon Morakot had killed 67 people, left 61 missing and injured 45 people in Taiwan Province.

● August 12

-No.8 typhoon Morakot stopped numbering, and there will be strong precipitation in southwest China and other places.

Bali shopping guide

　　The most worthwhile things to buy in Bali are local handicrafts, such as wood carving, stone carving and batik. If your wallet allows, you can also buy some works by local artists.

　　In Kuta, Denpasar, Nu Shadoa and other places, the price will be more expensive because of the large number of tourists. There are many villages in Bali that specialize in producing certain handicrafts, such as Mas and Sulu. Buying them in workshops is not only cheap, but also can witness the whole process of making these exquisite instruments. Ubud in Bali is the best place, and many handicrafts sold by shops in Kuta and other places are wholesale from here.

　　Special note:

　　1. You should bring enough cash to buy things in Bali. Most small shops with cheap prices do not accept credit cards, while the prices in large handicraft shops and duty-free shops are much more expensive.

　　2. Be careful that there are some artists near the tourist attractions who ask tourists for high prices and sell fake antiques.

How to View My Favorite Music Soda Music How to View My Favorite Music [Step Sharing]

　　Soda music software provides a large number of songs and music resources for everyone, all of which are lossless in sound quality. You can add them to your own song list if you like, and you can also let users check my favorite music. Please come to IT Encyclopedia for specific operation methods.

　　Step 1: Select the [soda music] icon and click to enter;

　　Step 2: Select [My] and click to enter;

　　Finally: Select [My Favorite Music] and click to view it.

　　The above is the software information brought by IT Encyclopedia Xiaobian. Please pay attention to IT Encyclopedia for more exciting.

One side is in trouble and all sides support it! Vegetables donated by caring people from many places have been shipped to Wuhan.

　　Cctv newsThe epidemic situation in Wuhan affects the hearts of people all over the country. There is an old saying in China that when one party is in trouble, all sides will support it. These days, vegetables donated by caring people from many places have begun to be shipped to Wuhan. There are also many caring people who donate the most scarce masks for free. It can be said that the epidemic is at the forefront and the warmth is warm.

　　Deyang, Sichuan: caring people help 100 thousand Jin of vegetables to be shipped to Wuhan

　　The real name of "Big Tree Brother" is Pan Dashu, a native of Deyang, Sichuan, and there are more than 50 acres of seasonal vegetables at home. After the video was released, many logistics companies responded and offered to help him transport 100,000 Jin of vegetables to Wuhan for free. Locals also volunteered to help collect vegetables so that they could be loaded and shipped as soon as possible.

　　Linyi, Shandong: 200 tons of Cangshan garlic were donated to Wuhan for free.

　　Yesterday (29th), 200 tons of garlic donated by Lanling County, Linyi City, Shandong Province set off for Wuhan. The person in charge of the donated enterprise said that according to the previous year’s market, it will take another month for these garlic to sell at a good price, but this batch of garlic that has been loaded and sent to Wuhan can play a greater role.

　　Yunnan: The railway department rushed to transport 17 tons of free vegetables to Wuhan.

　　Also yesterday (29th), Kunming Bureau Group of China Railway opened a green channel, giving priority to a batch of vegetables donated by local farms in Wuhan, and giving priority to shipment. This batch of vegetables was picked from a farm in Mengzi, Yunnan on the same day, with a total weight of 17 tons. It is expected to reach the Wuhan market in two to three days.

　　Suzhou, Jiangsu: Volunteers enter the workshop to help enterprises produce medical supplies.

　　Some enterprises in Suzhou, Jiangsu Province have recently resumed production ahead of schedule in order to put masks, protective clothing and other scarce items into areas with severe epidemic situation as soon as possible. Many volunteers spontaneously came to the enterprise to act as front-line workers to help step up production. At present, there are 70 to 80 volunteers helping in this enterprise every day, including the volunteer schedule for the following week, and the production capacity of the enterprise has been greatly improved.

　　Shanghai: A good neighbor in the community donated masks and delivered them to the door.

　　In a community in Shanghai, a resident named Guo Jigang took volunteers and went door to door to deliver masks to his neighbors. Guo Jigang is a mask seller. After the outbreak in Wuhan, he donated 5,000 masks and 300 protective glasses in stock to front-line medical workers at the first time. After the confirmed cases appeared in Shanghai, he took out the remaining stock masks and donated them to the neighbors of the community.

　　Lu’ an, Anhui: The young man sent a mask and the police saluted and thanked the back.

　　Two days ago in Lu ‘an, Anhui, a young man ran into the local police station with 10 boxes of masks. After putting the masks down, the young man turned and left. Two policemen chased out of the duty room, but the young man waved and left only a back. Two policemen faced the young man’s back and thanked him with a salute.

Beiqi Power Station： Only when the load rate is 65% can you make money.

"I hope that more customers will accept the power exchange mode, gradually increase the number of trams and increase the load rate of power exchange stations. Beijing is not far from profit."

On November 5, at Sanlitun Salon, Qin Si, deputy general manager of Beijing Aodong New Energy Investment Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Aodong), said that Aodong’s power exchange stations in Xiamen and Guangzhou have been profitable, but in Beijing, due to more stations and fewer cars, it has not yet achieved profitability. Aodong is the construction and operator of Beiqi New Energy Exchange Power Station.

When will Beiqi New Energy and Austrian Power push the electric vehicle switching mode to be profitable? How to promote profitability? What was the experience of the first batch of users of EU Quick Change Edition?

There are more stations and fewer cars, and the load rate of 65% can be profitable.

There are enough cars to make a profit.

Tan Si said that the key to the profitability of the power station is the load rate. Usually, the load rate can reach more than 65% before it can be profitable. Take Xiamen as an example. As the load rate of the local power exchange station has reached 100%, it has already achieved profitability, and 15 new power exchange stations will be built next year.

The average load rate of existing power stations in Beijing is 20%-25%, which is far below the profit line. The key reason is that there are more stations and fewer vehicles.

Layout of Beiqi New Energy Power Station in Beijing

According to King Cao, Director of Marketing Communication Department of BAIC New Energy, as of November 5th, BAIC New Energy and AUTO have jointly built 121 power exchange stations in China, including 100 in Beijing, 9 in Xiamen, 9 in Guangzhou and 3 in Lanzhou. There are 33 open operations in Beijing; Before the first half of 2019, all 100 completed power stations will be opened.

The power station will be built, and there are not enough cars to change electricity.

Tan Si said that assuming that each power station operates 28 batteries, the number of full-load operations is 288. In the actual calculation, because most of the replaced batteries have a lot of remaining power, the charging time is shortened. Therefore, each fully loaded vehicle in the power station is counted as 300 vehicles. To achieve the 65% load rate required for profitability, it is necessary to serve about 195 trams.

Aodong power exchange station

At present, Beiqi New Energy has only put in more than 7,000 power exchange vehicles in Beijing, Xiamen, Guangzhou and Lanzhou, which are allocated to 121 power exchange stations, and each power exchange station serves less than 58 vehicles.

In order to improve the operation efficiency of the power exchange station, on July 5 this year, when BAIC New Energy officially released the private power exchange mode, it announced that all power exchange stations were open to the whole industry and all brands of electric vehicles that met the technical standards could exchange power at the power exchange station of BAIC New Energy.

However, so far, no friends have officially joined the power exchange mode of BAIC New Energy. Earlier, an insider revealed that he was interested in joining, but it was not confirmed by all parties. King Cao said that Beiqi New Energy and Aodong are both attracting investment, and if there are cooperation projects, a corresponding special conference will be held.

EU5 Quick Change Edition will be launched next year.

To speed up profitability and improve the utilization rate of power exchange stations, BAIC New Energy did not put all its treasures on attracting investment.

At present, only one EU300 under BAIC New Energy supports private power exchange. Wang Ju, general manager of Beijing BAIC Smart Energy Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as BAIC Smart) revealed that in addition to EU300, EU5 will also launch a power exchange version in the fourth quarter of next year to alleviate the problem of single power exchange products. BAIC Wisdom is responsible for the overall planning, management, sales and service of new energy vehicles.

Baw new energy EU5

On August 15th, Beiqi new energy EU5 was listed in North China. The two versions of the car, R500 and R550, have a comprehensive cruising range of 416 kilometers and 460 kilometers respectively, and the national unified price is 129,900-161,900 yuan.

It is reported that in 2020, the high-end brands of BAIC New Energy will also launch battery-changing models.

Who bought the tram?

Low car price, low electricity bill, cheap maintenance, and "blowing air conditioners doesn’t cost a penny" are the official slogans of Beiqi New Energy Power Exchange Edition models.

Beiqi New Energy EU Quick Change Package Scheme

Some analysts believe that the purchase price and use price of the EU quick-change version are not low:

First, it is not cheap to spend nearly 80 thousand yuan to buy a car body, plus a deposit of 6,000 yuan, and the advantages of one-time investment are not obvious compared with fuel vehicles;

Secondly, the monthly battery cost includes package fee and monthly rent. Take package A as an example, the electricity fee per kilometer actually reaches 0.7 yuan, which is higher than the official 0.36 yuan; Not many people will buy a car for "blowing air conditioners for free".

However, judging from the feedback from the owners of changing trams, cost is not the main reason for buying cars.

"There is no fixed parking space in the old residential area where I live, so it is inconvenient to charge", which is the key for several EU quick-change car owners to choose to change trams. At present, apart from BAIC New Energy, there is only one battery-changing vehicle sold privately, and positioning the high-end ES8 is obviously beyond the affordability of ordinary consumers.

"Even if this car is sold in the early 100 thousand, I will still buy it, because it is really convenient to change electricity." An EU quick change version owner said this.

Of course, as far as the current layout of the power exchange station is concerned, the power exchange version of the car is not universal. Another thing that several car owners have in common is that their homes are close to the power exchange station. One of the car owners lives in a community only two kilometers away from the nearest power station. Users who live far away from the power exchange station may not be so convinced of the power exchange version.

According to the planning of Beiqi New Energy, after all the power stations in Beijing are opened, the average service radius of the urban area will reach 2.78km. Before that, it is not easy to reach the load rate of 65%, and the unprofitable state of the power stations may continue. (End)

Jietu Automobile Li Xiaojing： Building the world’s first ＂travel+＂ecology of automobiles and becoming the world’s first electric hybrid off-road brand.

Phoenix Auto News On August 31st, at the Chengdu Auto Show, the reporting team of Phoenix Auto had an in-depth exchange with Ms. Li Xiaojing, assistant general manager of the marketing center of Jietu Brand Division, and discussed several issues of Jietu brand that everyone was concerned about.

First of all, we all know that Jietu Automobile has done a good job in new media marketing. It can be said that the main engine factory has personally left the market, faced users directly, and gained traffic and recognition. We asked Ms. Li Xiaojing about this issue, and she said, "We don’t have any unique secrets. If Jietu only does one thing, it must be new media. In 2021, we chose new media. In 2022, we believed in new media. In 2023, we decided on new media. We have been on the road of new media. At present, we have 6000+ new media accounts, and 55% of our sales come from new media orders. We advocate learning from outstanding people, learning from people with results, and doing it with dealers. Dealers will also learn from each other. One of our distributors in Xinjiang took the initiative to learn from our other outstanding distributors last year. As far as I know, it only cost 1 million for travel and study. "

Talking about this, we find that in the ecological chain of Jietu, the relationship between dealers and OEMs is United and progressing together. Ms. Li Xiaojing also agreed that the dealers have a strong centripetal force for the OEM, and the OEM also has many means to help the dealers. "Modesty and studious, selfless, will always be the core competitiveness of Jietu."

Ms. Li Xiaojing continued to talk about "the more important role of new media is a platform to face users directly and listen to them. The goal that we have been striving for is to turn all user contacts into surprise points. For example, in live broadcast, we can directly understand their needs through interaction with users, and then provide users with products, services and experiences that exceed expectations. I also reach out to users through new media myself. When we really solve the problem for users and get recognition from users, you will feel that this is very worthwhile. "

When Jetway Shanhai L6 went on the market this month, Jetway had a resounding slogan, "Jeep in the United States, Land Rover in Britain and Jetway in China", and it was ambitious to become "the leader of off-road SUV in China". We interviewed Ms. Li Xiaojing about this issue. Where did Jetway’s confidence come from?

Ms. Li Xiaojing said, "Being the leader of off-road SUV in China is indeed the next goal of Jietu Automobile. In this regard, Jietu has confidence, ability and planning, and will definitely move forward towards this goal."

The bottom spirit comes from strength, and Jetway is the brand that knows how to travel best among car companies and who knows how to build cars best among travelers. After six years of deep cultivation, Jietu has built the only "Travel+"brand in the automobile industry from "0 to 1" and "from being excellent". It has the most powerful "Travel+"product lineup, covering the whole scene of family travel and cross-country travel, realizing both fuel and hybrid power to meet the needs of users’ global travel scenarios; And through good things, tide reform, rights and interests, and post stations, we will build the industry’s first "travel+"ecology. These have actually jumped out of the product itself, and Jietu is building travel as an ecological circle.

In terms of sales volume, Jietu has been firmly in the first camp of independent SUV brands. Since the beginning of this year, Jetway has won a breakthrough growth in the terminal market, with a cumulative sales volume of more than 316,000 vehicles from January to August, exceeding the annual sales volume in 2023. Among the mainstream brands with a monthly sales volume of 10,000 vehicles, Jetway is the first and only brand to surpass last year’s annual sales volume in eight months. Moreover, its travelers and Shanhai T2 form a "mixed double combination" to top the sales list of fuel and hybrid box markets respectively.

These have given Jietu a lot of confidence. "In the future, we will not only become the first in the domestic box market, but also build the first" travel+"ecology of global cars, become the first electric hybrid off-road brand in the world, and let the world fall in love with" Chinese off-road "."

From Ms. Li Xiaojing’s speech, we can really feel the confidence of Jetway. In fact, when I participated in Jetway activities, I also found that Jetway users have a very high recognition of Jetway cars, which can be seen from the interaction between brands and users in every activity, and the smiles and recognition on their faces can’t be disguised.

At the Chengdu Auto Show, there was a Shanhai L7 blasting Ares car on the Jietu booth, which just went through the blasting test. We also talked about why such a car should be brought to the booth.

Ms. Li Xiaojing said, "This Shanhai L7 blasting Ares car has just experienced the challenge of" flying slope blasting "in Beijing. It suffered 10 rounds of blasting in pure electric mode and fell from a 1.9-meter high slope. As a result, the body frame was intact, the door opened normally, and the battery pack did not leak, smoke or explode. We brought such a car to the booth so that everyone can see that Jetway will never compromise on safety. I also make a small announcement. Shanhai L7 is a large family of seven electric hybrid SUV products that can bring high performance, large space, more comfort and new experience to home users. It is expected to be listed in the middle and late September. "

In fact, from the development of Jietu in recent years, Jietu’s products are getting higher and higher, and the coverage is getting wider and wider. Just like the traveler’s car, it can accurately cover the needs and gain the recognition of users.

Finally, we also asked Ms. Li Xiaojing, Shanhai T1 is the key model of Jetway. Can it become an explosive car after it goes on sale at the end of the year?

Ms. Li Xiaojing is confident that it will definitely become an explosion. When talking about the reasons, she talked about the explosion gene of Shanhai T1, a new member of the champion family of square box, which can not only meet the needs of users for light off-road but also catch up with the traditional SUV. Its user base is clearly positioned, that is, those who yearn for travel, in short, those young people who want to enjoy the comfort of the city and are willing to have fun outdoors. Shanhai T1 is an urban SUV with off-road function, which can not only meet the urban personality, but also cope with outdoor traffic. It can run from Chengdu to Qinghai Lake (with a comprehensive battery life of 1400km) with one charge. It also has the qualification of trailer, which can tow motorcycles, yachts and RVs to travel, and can develop new ways of travel with young people. Therefore, Shanhai T1 has explosive potential.

After a short communication, I found that Jietu brand executives are well aware of brand building, have a deep understanding of products, and have a very harmonious relationship with dealers and users. I think such a brand is the brand that really takes the needs of consumers as the goal and works hard to build cars. We also expect Jietu to bring us more surprises in the future.

I want to talk to you about sex tonight.

　

At what age did people all over the world have their first night?

Durex, the eldest brother, made a global survey and found that the average age of men and women’s first sexual experience was17.3 years old.

17.3 years oldThe age of ordinary high school students.

When you are still an ignorant problem solver, you have been abandoned by your peers.

Is it too early?

On the other hand, aboveboard sex education came too late.

On October 17 this year, the National People’s Congress will "for the first time"sex education"The word is written into the Law of People’s Republic of China (PRC) on the Protection of Minors.

Prior to this, the obscure "adolescent education" was still used in laws and policy documents.

This is a great progress, but it illustrates a long-standing problem-

We still dare not talk about sex boldly.

We are always coy about the elephant in this room.

Don’t talk about it, does it not exist?

People in the room won’t mistake the elephant leg for a pillar and get hurt by it?

Japanese TV series17.3 About SexThat’s what we talked about.

More than 4000 people in Douban scored 9.1.

Different from the hot American TV series [Sex Study Room] in recent two years, this drama fits the relatively conservative gender culture in Asia and looks more resonant.

It is also a story about girls wavering and growing up between sex and love. sisterhood, who knows and supports each other, is very powerful.

　

01

The main characters are three 17-year-old female high school students, all of whom have a little knowledge of sex.

Or, I don’t understand at all.

The girl Yuliang is one of them.

Her boyfriend of a month sent her an invitation:

"Do you want to come to my house the day after tomorrow? There is no one at home."

Even though she saw the age of her first night published on the website, she was not psychologically prepared.

"17.3 years old, don’t you think it’s too early?"

"Will it hurt the first time?"

"Glass into the body so painful? Certainly not. "

But on second thought, it’s good to be an adult at the age of 17.3.

She prepared according to the instructions on the web page:

Choose a complete set of light-colored underwear that boys will like, and even shave off the body hair of private parts.

When she arrived at her boyfriend’s house, as soon as Yun Liang sat down, her boyfriend drew the curtains without saying anything and pushed her down eagerly.

Regardless of her wishes, she rudely took off her carefully prepared underwear and threw it on the ground.

"I feel like an object."

Yun Liang was afraid and disappointed, so she picked up her underwear and fled.

When she came to school the next day, she found that everyone knew about it.

It turns out that everything is just a bet made by my boyfriend and friends, betting that he can get rid of Yun Liang within one month.

And told the story about her shaving her body hair.

In embarrassment, Yun Liang ran to the dark biological room and cried.

Suddenly the curtains in the room were pulled open and the sun shone in.

Asahi, a usually taciturn male classmate, came to comfort her, saying that those boys were idiots who learned sex from AV and didn’t know how to respect girls at all.

Also published some opinions about "why girls cater to boys":

"Even depilation, also the boy to do. After all, the taste is big and the hair is thick and hard. "

Wonderful!

Yun Liang seriously recalled the original idea of getting rid of it, not because he really wanted to do it.

Catering to boyfriends is also misleading because of reading strange web pages.

It turned out that everyone didn’t understand the noise, so she decided to learn more about sex.

02

The other two girls also have their own confusion.

"Do we have to have sex?"

Girls have never liked anyone since they were young, and being kissed by boys will disgust and vomit.

She entered her "symptoms" on the Internet, and the result was-

No sexual love.

She came to the school library to check the information, but she couldn’t find it at all.

Finally, the biology teacher found out her own book and lent it to her.

After popularizing the knowledge of asexual love, the teacher told her,"It’s nothing strange to be different from others.".

Contrary to Xiao, the girl Nai has dated five boyfriends, each of whom is the only thrill.

The fifth one she met on dating software, and her profile says "26-year-old, IT male".

After you nai was with him, he contracted a kind ofsexually transmitted disease.

It was Yun Liang who found it in the book according to her symptoms.

I didn’t know until I went to the hospital for examination that the disease might be contagious even if I wore a condom.

It turned out that this boyfriend used a fake identity, but he was actually izakaya’s little brother, and he was sleeping with several people at the same time.

Nai decisively broke up and continued to invest in the next love.

She made a decision that she would go to the health center for a check-up before going out with every boyfriend in the future.

When the three girls encounter sexual problems, they all rely on themselves or friends to solve them.

It turns out that girls can also enjoy sex.

It turns out that sex is as diverse as people, and it is not surprising that it is different from others.

It turns out that condoms are not absolutely safe.

The school didn’t teach them relevant knowledge and didn’t provide environmental support.

Contact without knowing it is likely to get hurt.

The three of them were lucky to get effective guidance and help in time.

But wouldn’t it be better if someone told them this common sense from the beginning?

If you are troubled, the way you think of is to explore and discuss with your friends. This is the real "sex study room".

　

03

Sex education in schools is completely blank, and parents are also silent.

Yun Liang’s idea of virginity had something to do with her mother.

Yun Liang’s mother forbade her puppy love, which was very strict.

When you come back from school later, you will be questioned if you send a message to your friends.

Put a bear’s mating image on TV, and immediately switch to the weather forecast with the remote control.

It’s very much like the experience when we watched TV with our parents when we were young, and we had to pour water when we met the kissing scene.

I don’t think Yuliang’s skirt is too short, so I pull it down by hand.

So when Yun Liang found out that such a mother could masturbate, the whole person was shocked.

In the drawer of her mother’s bedroom, she saw the vibrator that her friend said.

It was the first time that she knew that women would do such a thing, which was unacceptable at the moment.

My mother, who can’t even say the word "physiological period" at home, doesn’t know how to explain it to her.

The relationship between the two fell into an awkward freezing point.

Finally, the biology teacher took her to the "women’s products" store, and the history of popular science vibrators made her understand that female masturbation is a natural thing.

Yun Liang later went to the store by herself, bought a new vibrator for her mother and quietly put it back in the room.

I also took care of my mother’s face and helped her turn over the article lightly.

Are there many cases where sex is taboo at home and the result is a rollover?

There is no lack of such questions in Zhihu:

It is not wise to cover up the obvious things in daily life.

Things that children should not know will be known by them sooner or later.

Knowing is not terrible, but misunderstanding and a little knowledge.

Even when a child is hurt, the first reaction is to hide it from his parents.

The girl mentioned above, Nai, was afraid to swipe her medical insurance card at home when she was in the hospital.

Her medical expenses were paid by three girls together.

It’s good to have friends’ support, but isn’t home called harbor and backing?

At this time, can the family provide support?

　

04

This may be too difficult for some parents.

I dare not talk about sex at home, and I am not allowed to talk about it at school.

In 2017, a Hangzhou parent saw the sex education book issued by the school, and thought it was too explicit, so he sent Weibo to boycott it.

Some people also questioned,"Knowing sex so early will make children have sex too early?"

This is actually a misunderstanding of sex education.

The purpose of sex education is to protect.

Avoid boys and girls who don’t understand sex being pitied.

In the play, Yun Liang’s junior high school friend Cheng Mei had sex with her boyfriend during the "safety period" and accidentally got pregnant.

By the time the test came out, it had been more than 22 weeks.

In Japanese law, abortion is not allowed after 22 weeks of pregnancy.

The school forced her to drop out of school, which meant that she was farther away from her dream of being a teacher in college.

How hard can it be for an underage single mother?

In the final analysis, she became a victim because she failed to get the correct sexual knowledge.

Actually,The content of sex education is not only the knowledge of sex and reproductive health.

Also includes the rightPositive attitude, sincere communication, respect for others and learning to ask for help.And other skills.

beLife education based on sex.

Professor Liu Wenli, who compiled this controversial reading, said that people’s desire to explore the body is innate.

So sex has nothing to be ashamed of and can’t be said.

Give sex disenchantment and treat it as a normal thing like the weather.

Know it well enough so that you won’t be hurt by it and taste its sweetness.

All this starts with talking about sex boldly.

Fan interaction

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